XRP doesn’t need another moon-boy price prediction. It needs a plan.
- Maelius sees a possible bullish run into 2027
- $10.07 is his base target; $37 is the extreme case
- His real message: scale out before the crowd gets greedy
At the time of this analysis, XRP was trading around $1.45 after rebounding from recent lows. That bounce has revived one analyst’s long-term bullish case, but with a twist. He is not just calling for upside, he is laying out an exit strategy.
In a chart-based view shared by analyst Maelius, XRP may have just finished a large corrective phase and could be entering a new impulsive move under Elliott Wave theory. Under that count, the next major leg could stretch well into 2027.
That’s the kind of forecast crypto loves to turn into gospel. Don’t. This is a technical scenario, not a prophecy tablet handed down from the blockchain gods.
Still, Maelius’s setup is more grounded than the usual crypto 2024 price predictions nonsense. He ties his thesis to structure, momentum, market dominance, and, most importantly, a plan to take profits before everyone else starts screaming “top signal” in hindsight.
What Maelius thinks XRP is doing
Maelius argues that XRP’s long-term structure has been misunderstood by many traders. He does not treat the 2020-2021 advance as a valid macro Wave 1. In his view, the 2017 rally was the first major five-wave advance, followed by a long stretch from 2018 to 2024 that acted more like a broad corrective and accumulation phase.
Under that interpretation, XRP’s breakout from the multi-year structure in late 2024 and move above $3 marked a meaningful shift. He then labels the decline toward roughly $1 as macro Wave 2, which means the next leg could be the stronger impulsive phase traders usually dream about and then ruin by overtrading.
For readers unfamiliar with Elliott Wave theory: it is a technical analysis framework that assumes markets move in repeating patterns, usually broken into five waves in the direction of the trend and then corrective phases. The problem is that wave counts are highly subjective. Two analysts can stare at the same chart and come away with totally different answers, both sounding equally confident.
“Wave 3 is typically considered the strongest impulsive portion of a five-wave structure.”, Maelius
That’s the core of the bullish case. If XRP is truly entering a Wave 3 phase, the theory suggests there could still be plenty of room to run. Maelius also points to the Elliott Wave rule that Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of waves 1, 3 and 5 in an impulse. In plain English: if this count is right, the middle leg is usually the one with the most fuel.
He also notes that the weekly RSI, the Relative Strength Index, a momentum indicator used to gauge whether price is gaining or losing steam, has broken above a descending resistance line. That does not guarantee anything. It just suggests momentum may be improving instead of rolling over.
The targets: $10.07 first, $37 if everything goes right
Maelius’s more conservative target is around $10.07. From XRP’s current level near $1.45, that would imply roughly 590% upside. In crypto, that’s a massive move. In crypto Twitter math, it’s apparently Tuesday.
The more aggressive case is $37. He does not frame that as a base target. He treats it as something close to his absolute maximum Wave 3 scenario, not a level investors should casually assume will be hit.
That $37 figure depends on two very aggressive assumptions:
- The total crypto market cap reaches about $18 trillion
- XRP dominance climbs toward roughly 13%
Dominance means a coin’s share of the total crypto market capitalization. So if the full market reaches $18 trillion and XRP captures 13% of it, XRP’s market cap would be about $2.34 trillion. That’s the arithmetic behind the $37 call.
That number is plausible on paper. It is also extremely ambitious. A 13% dominance level for XRP would be a major market event, not a casual bull market doodle. The math works. The assumptions are doing most of the heavy lifting.
The part that actually matters: the exit plan
The smartest part of Maelius’s view is not the upside target. It’s the selling discipline.
He says profit-taking should begin before XRP reaches $10. His final exit signal would come when XRP dominance reaches a long-term supply zone beginning around 13%, meaning an area where historical selling pressure could start to build again.
That is a far more useful frame than waiting for the mythical “perfect top.” Crypto loves rewarding greed with a slap. Scaling out gradually is boring, but boring is often how you keep gains instead of turning them into a screenshot and a regret.
The dominance angle also matters because price alone can fool people. A coin can keep rising while its share of the broader market gets stretched to unsustainable levels. Watching dominance can help show when an asset is becoming crowded, even if the candles still look healthy.
How believable is this setup?
Honest answer: plausible, but far from guaranteed.
Elliott Wave theory can be useful for mapping market structure, but it is also famously subjective. The same chart can produce multiple valid-looking counts, and that makes it a rough tool for certainty-seekers. If you want hard truth, markets don’t offer much of that. If you want clean lines and tidy predictions, they’ll usually sell you a lesson instead.
Maelius’s thesis depends on a lot of things going right at once: the wave count staying intact, crypto liquidity expanding, XRP maintaining momentum, and dominance rising aggressively enough to justify the higher valuation cases. None of that is impossible. None of it is automatic either.
That’s the real takeaway here. This is not a XRP exit strategy clown parade. It’s a structured bullish scenario with clear conditions and a built-in warning that the best time to take profits may come well before the crowd starts talking about the moon.
There’s also a broader market point worth keeping in mind. A target like $10 or $37 for XRP is not just a price call; it implies very specific assumptions about market capitalization, supply, and investor demand. Those assumptions can break long before the chart reaches its prettiest lines.
Key takeaways
-
Is $10 XRP on the table?
According to Maelius, yes. He puts around $10.07 forward as his conservative Wave 3 target, but that depends on his Elliott Wave count proving correct. -
Does Maelius really think XRP can hit $37?
He treats $37 as an extreme Wave 3 scenario, not a base case. It would require the total crypto market to reach about $18 trillion and XRP dominance to climb toward roughly 13%. -
Why start selling before the top?
Because waiting for the exact peak is usually a losing game. Maelius’s approach is to scale out gradually as XRP rises instead of gambling on perfect timing. -
What does XRP dominance mean?
It’s XRP’s share of the total crypto market cap. Rising dominance can signal strong relative performance, while an overheated dominance zone can hint that the move is getting stretched. -
How reliable is Elliott Wave theory?
It can be helpful for framing trends, but it is highly subjective. Different analysts often produce different counts, so it should be used as one tool, not a crystal ball.
If Maelius is right, XRP may still have room to run for years. If he’s wrong, the market will do what it always does: remind everyone that charts are guides, not guarantees. The sane move is not to marry the count. Take profits on the way up, respect risk, and don’t confuse a strong candle with a free lunch.
For context on the wider setup, XRP has also been flirting with a familiar technical zone, with recent coverage noting it eyes a 90-day breakout as policy and speculative catalysts keep the name in play.
And yes, the usual hype machine is already out there making wild calls. That’s why it helps to compare setups like this with broader market commentary, including crypto 2024 price predictions that often blur the line between analysis and wishful thinking.
